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Fri. Oct 18th, 2024
Trending News: SENATE PASSES VOTE OF CONFIDENCE ON AKPABIOWHY NIGERIAN GOVT REFUSED TO RELEASE NNAMDI KANU – IPOBLAWYER FAULTS AGBAKOBA ON LEGAL STATUS OF EFCC, SAYS POSITION BASED ON LEGAL SOPHISTRYRIVERS CRISIS: AS FAR AS LAW IS CONCERNED, STATUS OF THE BUDGET IS NULLITY – SANNIGERIANS NOT FEELING TINUBU, SHETTIMA’S ABSENCE – AISHA YESUFUPRO-WIKE LAWMAKERS WRITE INEC, SEEK REPLACEMENT OF PRO-FUBARA LAWMAKERSLONGEST LIVED AMERICAN PRESIDENT IN HISTORY, JIMMY CARTER, VOTES FOR KAMALA HARRIS IN US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONEX-NBA PRESIDENT, AGBAKOBA, WRITES NASS, SAYS EFCC ACT UNCONSTITUTIONALEFCC VS THE CONSTITUTION: WAITING FOR SUPREME COURTCATEGORIES OF PEOPLE WHO WILL SUFFER IF TRUMP WINS AMERICAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION – SHEHU SANIHUNGER NOW FAMILY MEMBER OF MANY NIGERIAN HOUSEHOLDS – PETER OBI KNOCKS TINUBU GOVTSON OF EX-ENUGU ASSEMBLY DEPUTY SPEAKER ARRESTED FOR ALLEGEDLY SUPPLYING GUNS TO KIDNAPPERSFLOOD TAKE OVER SAHARA DESERT AFTER HEAVY RAINFALL, FIRST IN DECADESPRESSURE MOUNTS ON SUPREME COURT AS 16 GOVERNORS SUE EFCCLAGOS TO PAY N85,000 AS MINIMUM WAGEPOWER VACUUM: PRESIDENT, VICE PRESIDENT OUT OF NIGERIATINUBU GOVT PLANS N25% TAX ON WEALTHY NIGERIANS EARNING N100M MONTHLYIT’S FAKE NEWS, THERE’S NO PLOT TO IMPEACH ME – AKPABIOPOLICE CLARIFY ROLE IN RIVERS LG ELECTIONWIKE MAY FACE DISCIPLINARY ACTION FOR VIOLATING PDP RULESNAIRA ONE OF THE WORST PERFORMING CURRENCIES IN AFRICA – WORLD BANKNIGERIA’S CHIEF OF ARMY STAFF, LAGBAJA , SICK, FLOWN ABROAD FOR TREATMENT – SAHARAREPORTERSWORLD BANK TELLS TINUBU GOVT TO CONTINUE WITH ECONOMIC POLICY DESPITE RISING HARDSHIPTRAVELLERS HAIL PETER OBI, CALL HIM “OUR PRESIDENT” AS HE CLEARS TRAFFIC IN KOGICONSTITUENTS MOVE TO RECALL HOUSE OF REPS MEMBER, UGOCHINYERE, LAUD GOV UZODINMADAMAGUM MAY STEP DOWN NEXT WEEKPDP CRISIS RESOLVED WITH SUSPENSIONS, COUNTER SUSPENSION QUASHEDSOLUDO REJECTS LG AUTONOMY, SAYS IT WILL LEAD TO CHAOS, SIGNS BILL TO DEDUCT COUNCIL FUNDSWHY WE INVADED RADIO STATION TO ARREST SUSPECT – EFCCNUJ CONDEMNS EFCC INVASION OF RADIO STATIONENUGU GOVT TO LAUGH N20B STATE SECURITY TRUST FUNDGRID COLLAPSE, A NATIONAL SHAME, TESTAMENT OF LEADERSHIP FAILURE – PETER OBIPRO-WIKE LAWMAKERS DECLARE PRO-FUBARA LAWMAKERS’ SEATS VACANTFG SUMMONS BRITISH HIGH COMMISSIONER OVER SUNDAY IGBOHO’S YORUBA NATION PETITION TO PRIME MINISTERAFCON QUALIFIER: CAF DELISTS NIGERIA, LIBYAEFCC INVADES RADIO STATION IN ENUGU, ARRESTS PRESENTERPDP CRISIS: GOVERNORS TELL WARRING MEMBERS TO MAINTAIN STATUS QUODAMAGUM DIVIDES PDP GOVERNORSPDP BREAKS INTO FACTIONSWE SYMPATHISE WITH THE POOR BUT TINUBU’S POLICIES WILL CONTINUE – VP SHETTIMANORTH MUST BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE SEPARATION – PROF LUGGACAF INVESTIGATES SUPER EAGLES ORDEAL IN LIBYANIGERIA WAS NOT HUMILIATED AT UNHRC ELECTION – PRESIDENCYNIGERIA IN DARKNESS AS NATIONAL GRID COLLAPSES AGAINMOB BURNS EDO POLICE STATION OVER ALLEGATION OF ORGAN HARVESTINGSUPER EAGLES BACK TO NIGERIA AFTER LIBYA ORDEALFG TO RECRUIT 74,OOO TEACHERS NATIONWIDENIGERIANS GROAN OVER HIGH ELECTRICITY BILLSFG MOVES TO GROUND 60 PRIVATE JETSALLOW THE DEAD TO REST IN PEACE, SHEHU SANI SPEAKS ON ENUGU MORTUARY TAXPDP BLASTS FUBARA, SAYS HE REJECTED OFFER TO CONTROL PARTY STRUCTUREPETER OBI CONDEMNS FATAL SHOOTING OF SUPERSPORTS CREW, SAYS KILLINGS KIDNAPPINGS HAVE BECOME WORSENASS WANTS MORE SUFFERINGS FOR NIGERIANS, CONSIDERS BILL TO INCREASE VAT FROM 7.5% TO 10%ENUGU GOVT PLANS TO RESETTLE RESIDENTS OF TWO URBAN SLUMSBIZZARE! REVEREND FATHER SET TO WED REVEREND SISTER IN CATHOLIC CHURCHSENATE THREATENS UMAHI, DABRI-EREWA, OTHERS WITH WARRANT OF ARRESTGOVERNOR SUSPENDS AID FOR ANNOYING N70,OOO MINIMUM WAGENINE PDP GOVERNORS ENDORSE DAMAGUM’S REMOVAL AS NATIONAL CHAIRMANBETWEEN SENATOR SHEHU SANI AND EX-GOV EL RUFAI’S WIFEYOU’RE BEREFT OF IDEAS ABOUT HOW TO TACKLE ECONOMIC CRISIS, BEG JONATHAN FOR HELP – NNPP TELLS TINUBUWHY MORTUARY TAX WAS INTRODUCED – ENUGU GOVTNIGERIA FACING WORSENING FOOD CRISIS LIKE YEMEN, ETHIOPIA – WORLD BANK REPORTFLASHBACK: HOW TINUBU CRITICISED JONATHAN OVER PETROL SUBSIDY REMOVALINSIDE STORY OF ONGOING CRISIS IN PDPHOUSE OF REPS PASSES BILL TO ESTABLISH BOLA AHMED TINUBU UNIVERSITY OF NIGERIAN LANGUAGESRIVERS CRISIS: I DO NOT SEE THE POSSIBILITY OF APPEAL COURT JUDGEMENT BEING UPTURNED – SANFOR AND AGAINST REGIONAL GOVTDRAMA AS FAYOSE DECLARES SELF PDP NATIONAL CHAIRMAN, SUSPENDS WIKE, ATIKU, OTHERSENUGU GOVT WITHDRAWS MONARCH’S RECOGNITION OVER LAWYER’S MURDERFCT MINISTER, NYESON WIKE, BAUCHI GOVERNOR, BALA MOHAMMED, DIVIDE PDPNEW EDUCATION CURRICULUM: EVERY STUDENT MUST GRADUATE WITH TWO SKILLSFUBARA’S REFUSAL TO OBEY COURT JUDGEMENT CAUSE OF RIVERS VIOLENCE – INDEPENDENT OBSERVERSPDP CRISIS: GOVERNORS BACK EMBATTLED NATIONAL CHAIRMAN, DAMAGUNAPC BERATES ROTIMI AMAECHI, SAYS HE’S INVITING ANARCHY IN NIGERIASOWORE, FORMER PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE, BARRED FROM LEAVING NIGERIA BY IMMIGRATION SERVICEAPC SUSPENDS TINUBU’S MINISTER, OTHERSCOURT BARS PDP NEC, BOT FROM SACKING DAMAGUM AS ACTING NATIONAL CHAIRMANFG ANNOUNCES FULL DEREGULATION OF PETROLEUM INDUSTRYCHIEF JUDGE REJECTS NYAKO’S RECUSAL FROM NNAMDI KANU’S CASE, RETURNS CASE FILEMY HUSBAND NOT CAUSE OF NIGERIA’S PROBLEM – TINUBU’S WIFERECENT LOCAL GOVT ELECTIONS IN STATES ACROSS NIGERIA, A SHAM, RAPE OF DEMOCRACY – SENATECHIDINMA ADETSHINA NAMED ENUGU STATE BRAND AMBASSADORPDP CRISIS WORSENS AS FACTIONS SUSPEND EACH OTHERNCC COMPLETES NIN-SIM LINKAGE FOR ALL PHONE NUMBERSWHY I PREFER TRADITIONAL WORSHIP TO CHRISTIANITY, ISLAM – SOYINKAWTO SELECTS UNN, OTHERS FOR TRADE RESEARCH PROGRAMMEYOU DON’T HAVE CAPACITY TO BRING DOWN MILITARY AIRCRAFT – DHQ TELLS DOKUBONO FOOD FOR LAZY MAN – TINUBU’S WIFE TELLS NIGERIAN YOUTHS TO WORK HARDFUBARA ASKS LAWYERS TO APPEAL COURT JUDGEMENT AFFIRMING WIKE’S LOYALIST AS ASSEMBLY SPEAKER2024 RIVERS BUDGET A NULLITY – APPEAL COURTFUBARA LOSES AS APPEAL COURT AFFIRMS PRO-WIKE LAWMAKER AS AUTHENTIC SPEAKER OF RIVERS ASSEMBLYI SACRIFICED MY POLITICAL CAREER IN FINLAND FOR BIAFRA’S INDEPENDENCE – SIMON EKPANNAMDI KANU’S WIFE BEGS UK GOVT TO INTERVENE IN IPOB LEADER’S CASEFUEL PRICE HIKE: TINUBU LISTENED TO DANGOTE – IPMAN CHAIRROYAL FATHERS TO FG: WE WANT DIRECT PAYMENT OF OUR 5% ALLOCATION13 EX-BOKO HARAM FIGHTERS ESCAPE WITH GOVT RIFLES, MOTORCYCLESHOUSE OF REPS BEGINS MOVE TO PROBE BUHARI GOVTRIVERS, CAPITAL OF BETRAYALS, MOST POLITICIANS PASSED THROUGH ME – AMAECHINIGERIAN LAMENT FRESH FUEL INCREASEHOW NIGERIANS HAVE ENDURED PETROL PRICE HIKE FOR 18 MONTHS – FROM N198 TO N1,030/LITRE
Fri. Oct 18th, 2024

VP KAMALA HARRIS’ODD INCREASES AFTER BIDEN’S WITHDRAWAL

download 2024 07 21T231057.020 jpeg

VP KAMALA HARRIS’ ODD INCREASES AFTER BIDEN’S WITHDRAWAL

Donald Trump’s chances of winning the presidency are currently at -156 after Joe Biden’s withdrawal, indicating a 61% probability of him becoming the next president in November.

This reflects a slight decrease from the previous day when the president’s odds were at 64%, showcasing some uncertainty as Democrats consider alternative candidates.

In contrast, Biden’s likelihood of winning dropped to nearly zero, as stated on PredictIt.

Meanwhile, Kamala Harris, his Vice President, has seen her odds increase to +163. This is a significant rise from +900 just days ago on July 16 and even more so from June when her chances were at a much lower +2400, prior to Biden’s poor debate showing.

This means oddsmakers have pegged her as being 12 times more likely at pulling of a win as she was a month ago, when handicappers saw Biden’s odds as around 50-50.

That statistic has since halved six times over, as the election rapidly approaches. As it does, other figures have some surprising odds as well, from California’s Gavin Newsom to former First Lady Michelle Obama.

Donald Trump’s odds to win the Oval Office are now at -178 after Joe Biden’s decision to drop out – meaning oddsmakers view him as being 62 percent likely to serve as the next president

It stood as a a slight dip from a day ago when the president’s odds were pegged at 64 percent, suggesting some uncertainty as Democrats mull a replacement for the newly bowed out Biden

While not the most reliable of information aggregators due to journalists and political staffers being disallowed from casting, the site and its odds marker is widely considered an effective and reliable measure of predicting elections.

It is also the only presidential odds market that has a federal exemption for research reasons – as such markets, strictly speaking, are not exactly legal.

But despite repeated attempts to upend it by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), this one is – and now shows Trump comfortably leading despite a small slip-up seemingly triggered by Biden’s decision to bow out.

He started the day with a line of -178, now down to -156.

Harris, meanwhile, started last week as a long-shot with 10-1 odds, even as many pegged her as the apparent replacement as many called on Biden to drop out.

This prospect took a step closer to becoming a reality almost immediately Sunday, after her old running mate took to X to make the highly anticipated announcement.

Within seconds, her chances spiked by nine percent, after already improving by some 17 percent over the course of last week.

The next-most dramatic shift was sported by Biden, whose stock slipped from +567 to nearly 100-1 again in seconds, after sloping down from 48 percent since his debate last month.

Most likely replacement Kamala Harris, Biden’s vice president, saw her odds rise drastically to +178 – up from the +900 seen just days ago

This means oddsmakers have pegged her as being 12 times more likely at pulling of a win as she was a month ago, when handicappers saw Biden’s odds as around 50-50. That statistic has since halved six times over. As the election looms, others had some surprising odds as well

Despite confirming in his statement he would be ‘stand[ing] down,’ PredictIt sitll pegged him as having a small, 1 percent chance of somehow still snagging the Democratic nomination.

This comes ahead of the highly anticipated Democratic Convention, where, for the first time in decades, a candidate will likely be chosen by delegate votes just ahead of the event.

This concept, however, failed too see other candidates experience a surge in their odds as well, as Biden put to bed any doubt after his announcement by singling out Harris with his own endorsement.

Also offering her official seal of approval was former Democratic candidate and Trump victim Hillary Clinton, who, while not ranked on PredictIt, sported a similar +9900 line on competing market Oddschecker.com.

That means the site views her as being jist shy of a 100-1 shot, similar to fellow endorser Biden.

Harris’s prosepctive competition, meanwhile, saw their odds stay relatively the same, with Newsom boasting a line of +2400 – or 24 to 1 – unchanged from the day before..

    • Dons Eze

    DONS EZE, PhD, Political Philosopher and Journalist of over four decades standing, worked in several newspaper houses across the country, and rose to the positions of Editor and General Manager. A UNESCO Fellow in Journalism, Dr. Dons Eze, a prolific writer and author of many books, attended several courses on Journalism and Communication in both Nigeria and overseas, including a Postgraduate Course on Journalism at Warsaw, Poland; Strategic Communication and Practical Communication Approach at RIPA International, London, the United Kingdom, among others.

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    CATEGORIES OF PEOPLE WHO WILL SUFFER IF TRUMP WINS AMERICAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION – SHEHU SANI

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